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So far Bob has created 117 blog entries.

Unicredit capital position before merger with Monte dei Paschi di Siena

It looks likely that Unicredit will be entering into a shotgun wedding with Mone dei Paschi di Siena (MPS). Unicredit will be compelled by the Italian political and monetary authorities to act as a White Knight.

MPS just failed its European Banking Authority Stress Tests but then it has been flat broke for years.

For a putative […]

UK’s New Payments Architecture now to be a bungalow

Title page of PSR’s latest emission on the scope and tendering process for NPA

What started out as a Temple of Solomon to revolutionise the UK’s payment systems will now be reduced to a more manageable bungalow-sized development. Multiple layers collapse down to one.

The
UK’s Payment Systems Regulator (PSR), who started this show rolling in 2015 by
creating […]

No-one can know the size of the Brexit divorce bill, and it won’t be finalised until 2028, or for decades after that

Two of the key patagraphs in the Withdrawal Treaty itself

What are HM Treasury and the EU playing at? Their dispute rumbles on over whether the Brexit divorce bill is the EU’s estimate of £41bn or HM Treasury’s (or rather the Office for Budget Responsibility’s) of £35-39bn.

The discussion feels phoney. The quoted amounts cannot include all […]

How worried should we still be about the Brexit divorce bill?

This is the actual agreement…

Below is the text of an article we had published on CapX last week about the bunfight between HM Treasury and Brussels on the supposed size of the Brexit divorce bill: in short, neither of them can know for sure what it is because of the loopholes in the agreement on […]

The ECB and the PEPP: why are the credit ratings of EU/Eurozone public sector issuers inflated by as many as four notches?

The discussions and calls following the launch of my Bruges Group paper “The ECB’s Pandemic Emergency Purchase Programme” surfaced two areas for further examination.

One was the “pot calling the kettle black” issue: why is the UK structurally and materially in a superior position (even if we have the wrong direction-of-travel and share some of the […]

ECB and its PEPP programme: why are we doing a better job in the UK?

I have been in a lot of calls since the launch of my Bruges Group paper “The ECB’s Pandemic Emergency Purchase Programme”.

Two issues keep coming up and so I have decided to write two notes on them.

This first one comes down to the pot not calling the kettle black. Or, put more elegantly, […]

Video – ECB Pandemic Emergency Purchase Programme

Walk-through of newly-issued Bruges Group paper on the ECB PEPP programme – the epitome of the failure of the euro.

PLEASE CLICK THIS LINK TO PLAY…

The ECB’s Pandemic Emergency Purchase Programme – epitome of the failure of the euro

We have had a new paper published through The Bruges Group.

It is about the ECB’s new QE programme, called the PEPP or Pandemic Emergency Purchase Programme.The sub-title of the paper encapsulates it very nicely: “the undermining of the Eurozone as a free financial market, the epitome of the failure of the Euro project, […]

Comparison table of UK Finance Report – “Future-ready payments 2030: a dynamic, purposeful and united agenda for the UK”, February 2021

UK Finance’s report on the future of UK payments

We have compiled a comparison table between the plans for UK payments as foreseen by:

UK Finance’s “Future-ready payments 2030: a dynamic, purposeful and united agenda for the UK”, of February 2021; The Payment Strategy Forum’s “A Payments Strategy for the 21st century: putting the needs of users […]

Target tax-avoiding EU schemes, not Conservative voters, Mr Sunak

Second article based on my interview with the Daily Express
about tax avoidance and state aid by companies using bases in Ireland and
Luxembourg to trade into the UK…

https://www.express.co.uk/news/politics/1394557/rishi-sunak-tax-hikes-spring-budget-uk-taxes-CGT-boris-johnson