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So far Bob has created 227 blog entries.

TOTAL [POLITICAL] FOOTBALL – LABOUR’S INTEGRATED SCHEME FOR THE UK’S PENSIONERS

More money is needed and pensioners – or old codgers as a senior HM Treasury adviser calls them – cost too much and are in the way.

Solution? Accelerate pensioner deaths through a scheme of public policy measures – which have already made the news thanks to their being discussed at the highest levels in government.

Labour […]

Massive borrow-and-spend splurge under Labour takes shape

Report on Labour Plans May 2024

Rachel Reeves wants to take Great British Energy and the NationalWealthFund ‘off-balance sheet’ to massage the UK’s national debt figures.

What this means was written up on pp. 10-13 of this report in May downloadable here: it is the aping of the European Fund for Strategic Investments or InvestEU, which was […]

Enquiries needed into the treatment of rioters and the narrative put up by the authorities during the August 2024 UK riots

Introduction

Friends around the world must wonder if the UK has lost its mind, what with the Southport murders, the ensuing riots, the false predictions of 100+ ‘far Right’ protests on August 7th, the subsequent mass ‘counterprotests’, the praise heaped on ‘communities’ for standing up to this fictitious threat, and the subsequent repressive ‘justice’ dealt out […]

Full callable capital of the European Stability Mechanism by credit rating level

This chart supplements the IREF article published on 24th July 2024 entitled ‘There is no European Financial Safety Net, and therefore no Global Financial Safety Net’:

https://en.irefeurope.org/publications/online-articles/article/there-is-no-european-financial-safety-net-and-therefore-no-global-financial-safety-net/Bonds issued by the European Stability Mechanism have to be 100%+ backed by callable capital from member states with a given credit rating for the bonds to enjoy that same […]

The ‘grown-ups’ seem to have cooked the books to keep UK debt below 100% of GDP – for now

Introduction

The Office for National Statistics data for the UK’s public debt in June 2024 was duly published, and there was a turnaround in the direction-of-travel, of sorts anyway.

June borrowing was another disastrous £14.5 billion, but this resulted in Debt/GDP being ‘provisionally estimated’ at 99.5%, when the equivalent Debt/GDP number in May was 99.8%.

How 2 + […]

The ‘grown-ups’ have all but ensured that UK debt will exceed 100% of GDP, and that the only way from there is down

Introduction

Underline 21st July 2024 in your diaries.

This will be the publication date of the Office for National Statistics data for the UK’s public debt in June 2024.

Barring a turnaround in the direction-of-travel, the debt will exceed 100% of GDP.

UK public finances between January and May 2024

Debt was 99.8% of GDP in May, although for some […]

Callable capital of the European Stability Mechanism (the ESM)

Callable ESM capital

The ESM has a different legal mechanism for calling for more funds compared to the European Financial Stability Facility.

It is part-paid shares.

All Eurozone member states – including Croatia – are shareholders in the ESM, and they have subscribed to €708.5 billion of capital and paid in €80.6 billion of that. The guarantee […]

Why the European Financial Stability Facility was downgraded to AA-

Member state guarantees behind the EFSF and the resulting percentage of the EFSF’s bonds that are covered by guarantees of member states with different levels of credit rating

The EFSF’s credit rating was recently lowered to AA-. This is due to the interplay between the credit ratings of the EFSF and of the EFSF’s guarantors, who […]

Remainers admit that Labour’s economic growth plans are pie-in-the-sky

Labour’s plans for the economy

Labour’s plans for growing the UK economy have been highlighted as being based on fresh air by a group of prominent Remainers and Rejoiners:

https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/article/2024/jun/22/starmer-growth-plan-doomed-access-eu-markets-economists

Their argument is that Labour’s plans for growth are unachievable without a shot-in-the-arm from somewhere. That we can agree on. They contend that rejoining the EU is this […]

How the bill of £800bn for Labour’s Net Zero plan was worked out

Headline in the Daily Express of the article in which the £800bn appeared

Labour’s Green Prosperity Plan will be based around Great British Energy, the new entity which will have equity of £1.7bn according to the Fiscal Plan in the Labour manifesto.

Labour were stating until some months ago that they planned to borrow £28bn per annum […]